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Photo: Rodeo Project Management Software / Unsplash · Netherlands

Market watch · 23

Tech’s lead in EU job vacancies has nearly vanished

In 2019 tech’s vacancy rate ran 1.3 points above the economy’s; in the second quarter of 2026, 0.2.

For ten years a post at a European tech firm was more likely to be open and waiting for someone than the average post in the economy. Eurostat’s latest count says that edge is nearly gone: 2.2% of tech posts vacant, against 2.0% across the economy. Here is how far it fell, where tech still leads and where it now trails, and what that changes if you hire for a tech firm or want to work at one.

2.2%of posts at EU tech firms were vacant in the second quarter of 2026, down from 3.6% in 2019
2.0%is the same rate across industry, construction and services, down from 2.3% in 2019
0.2points separate them, the narrowest gap in 58 quarters, level with the third quarter of 2025

Tech’s lead over the EU economy has shrunk to 0.2 points

20120.6
20130.8
20141.0
20150.8
20160.9
20171.1
20181.2
20191.3
20200.6
20211.0
20221.4
20230.6
20240.5
20250.3
20260.2
Tech’s job vacancy rate minus the rate across industry, construction and services, in percentage points, European Union, second quarter of each year, unadjusted. Eurostat jvs_q_r21, read 26 September 2026.

A lead that held for a decade

In the second quarter of 2026, 2.2% of posts at the European Union’s tech firms were vacant, against 2.0% across industry, construction and services. Eurostat’s series for the sector begins in 2012, and in each of the 44 quarters from then to the end of 2022 tech’s rate ran between 0.6 and 1.5 points above the economy’s.

Both rates climbed into 2022 and both have fallen since, but not by the same distance. Since the second quarter of 2019, tech’s rate is down 1.4 points, from 3.6%, and the economy’s 0.3, from 2.3%. The gap of 0.2 points is the narrowest of the 58 quarters Eurostat publishes, level with the third quarter of 2025.

The activity the new classification separates from tech, publishing, broadcasting and content production, fell further: from 2.9% in the second quarter of 2019 to 1.3%, level with its lowest reading, at the end of 2013.

Country by country

Twenty-five member states report both years, and Czechia’s series breaks in 2025, which leaves 24 to compare, each within its own survey. In 17 of the 24, tech’s vacancy rate is lower than in 2019, and in 19 its lead over the national economy has narrowed.

Germany publishes its counts as well as its rates. Its tech firms were recruiting for 33,049 posts in the second quarter of 2026, against 54,126 in 2019: a rate of 2.7%, down from 4.7%, against 2.4% across the German economy. In France tech fell from 3.7% to 2.4% while the economy rose to the same 2.4%. In Spain, Italy, Hungary and Lithuania tech went from ahead of the economy to behind it: in Spain 0.7% against 0.9%, in Italy 1.3% against 1.5%.

Tech still leads in 12 of the 25. Of the member states reporting the quarter, Belgium and the Netherlands carry the highest tech rates, 5.2% and 5.1%, and the Netherlands the highest rate across a whole economy, 4.1%. Sweden’s tech firms have 3.8% of posts open against 2.2% nationally, Finland’s 2.1% against 1.1%.

Provenance: Source
Job vacancy rate in the second quarter, unadjusted: tech firms (NACE Rev. 2.1 section K) and industry, construction and services (sections B to T). The last column is tech minus the economy in 2026, in points; a negative figure means tech trails. Sorted by tech’s 2026 rate. Czechia’s series breaks in 2025, so its 2019 figures are not shown; Denmark and Portugal do not report both years.
Member stateTech, 2019Tech, 2026Economy, 2019Economy, 2026Tech’s lead, 2026, points
European Union3.6%2.2%2.3%2.0%+0.2
Belgium7.4%5.2%3.4%3.3%+1.9
Netherlands6.1%5.1%3.3%4.1%+1.0
Sweden5.3%3.8%2.7%2.2%+1.6
Austria6.6%3.2%3.4%2.9%+0.3
Malta1.5%3.2%2.7%3.1%+0.1
Germany4.7%2.7%3.3%2.4%+0.3
Slovenia1.9%2.5%2.3%2.5%0.0
France3.7%2.4%2.1%2.4%0.0
Lithuania1.9%2.2%1.4%2.3%-0.1
Estonia3.0%2.1%1.9%1.4%+0.7
Finland4.3%2.1%2.1%1.1%+1.0
Cyprus1.3%2.0%1.7%2.6%-0.6
Ireland2.0%2.0%1.1%1.3%+0.7
Hungary3.4%1.8%2.6%2.1%-0.3
Latvia2.2%1.6%3.2%2.2%-0.6
Luxembourg3.2%1.5%1.7%1.4%+0.1
Poland2.7%1.4%1.1%0.8%+0.6
Italy2.2%1.3%1.4%1.5%-0.2
Greece0.2%1.0%0.7%1.8%-0.8
CzechiaNo data0.9%No data1.9%-1.0
Romania1.5%0.8%1.1%0.5%+0.3
Spain1.6%0.7%0.7%0.9%-0.2
Slovakia0.7%0.5%1.1%0.9%-0.4
Bulgaria0.3%0.4%0.9%0.8%-0.4
Croatia0.6%0.2%1.5%1.3%-1.1

What a vacancy rate counts

It counts open posts, not adverts. A vacancy is a paid post the employer is actively trying to fill from outside the firm, counted on a reference date each quarter, as a share of all posts, occupied and open. One advert can cover several posts, and one post can be advertised on many sites.

It counts by the employer’s sector, not by the job. A developer hired by a bank is a vacancy in finance, and a salesperson hired by a software firm is a vacancy in tech. This edition is about tech firms, not about technical occupations across the economy.

And it counts a stock, not a flow. A rate can fall because fewer posts open or because the ones that open are filled faster, and the vacancy statistics do not say which. The rate is not a count of hires, of lay-offs or of applicants.

Provenance: SourceWhat this counts
  1. A VACANCY is an open post, not an advert, a hire or an applicant: a paid post, new, unoccupied or about to become free, that the employer is actively trying to fill from outside the firm. The RATE divides open posts by all posts, occupied and open, on a reference date each quarter. One advert can cover several posts, and one post can be advertised on many sites.
  2. TECH is a sector, not a job. Eurostat classifies a post by what the employer does, under NACE Rev. 2.1 section K: telecommunication, computer programming, consulting, computing infrastructure and other information services. A developer hired by a bank is a vacancy in finance; a salesperson hired by a software firm is a vacancy in tech. Publishing, broadcasting and content production sit in section J.
  3. Every comparison is the SAME SEASON. The EU series for the sector is published unadjusted, so each year is read in its second quarter, April to June, and never one quarter against another. The rates are published to one decimal, and every gap here is the difference between two printed figures.

So the EU’s 2.2% against 2.0% does not say tech firms are hiring less than other employers, or that tech workers are losing their jobs: it says that in the second quarter of 2026, 2.2 in every hundred posts at EU tech firms were open and being recruited for, against 2.0 across the economy, where in 2019 it was 3.6 against 2.3.

One rate, counted the same way in every member state, and a reading that forgets what it counts says what the source does not.

What these rates do not say

They name no cause. Artificial intelligence, interest rates, the hiring of 2021 and 2022 and the end of the pandemic have all been offered to explain a cooler tech market, and none of them is measured here.

They say nothing about pay, and nothing about how many people apply for each post. A lower vacancy rate means fewer open posts among all posts; whether each one draws more candidates is not in the source.

And they forecast nothing. Each year is read in the same quarter, and nothing here says where the rate goes next. Denmark and Portugal do not report both years and are not in the table; Czechia is shown for 2026 only.

What this means for you

If you hire for a tech firm in Germany

German tech firms were recruiting for 33,049 posts in the second quarter of 2026, against 54,126 in 2019, a rate of 2.7% against 2.4% across the economy. Fewer rival tech openings is what the data shows; who applies is not in it, so count your own applicants per opening before you assume the market has loosened.

If you want to work at a tech firm in Spain or Italy

In both, a tech firm is now less likely to have a post open than the average employer: 0.7% against 0.9% in Spain, 1.3% against 1.5% in Italy. Of the member states reporting the quarter, Belgium and the Netherlands carry the highest tech rates, 5.2% and 5.1%. If you can work across a border, that is where the largest share of tech posts is open.

How this was counted

Method

  1. One dataset. Eurostat jvs_q_r21, job vacancy statistics by NACE Rev. 2.1 activity, quarterly, read through Eurostat’s dissemination API on 26 September 2026 (the date is the timestamp of the downloaded file, 22:00). Eurostat last updated the dataset on 15 September 2026, the first release to carry the second quarter of 2026. Unadjusted figures, all size classes, and the published job vacancy rate to one decimal.
  2. TECH is NACE Rev. 2.1 section K, telecommunication, computer programming, consulting, computing infrastructure and other information service activities. THE ECONOMY is sections B to T, industry, construction and services, without households as employers: the aggregate Eurostat publishes on the new classification. Publishing, broadcasting and content production is section J. Eurostat serves the EU series for section K from the first quarter of 2012; how the quarters before the change of classification were converted is not described in the metadata the desk could read, last updated on 27 November 2025.
  3. SAME SEASON, PRINTED FIGURES. Every comparison is between second quarters, because the EU series for the sector is not published seasonally adjusted. Every gap is the difference between two published rates, so a reader can recompute it from the table: 3.6 minus 2.3 is 1.3, and 2.2 minus 2.0 is 0.2. From the first quarter of 2012 to the second quarter of 2026 there are 58 quarters; in the 44 up to the end of 2022 the gap ran from 0.6 to 1.5 points, and its two lowest readings, 0.2, are the third quarter of 2025 and the second quarter of 2026.
  4. MEMBER STATES. 25 of the 27 report both rates in both second quarters: Denmark has no whole-economy figure for 2019 and Portugal none for the second quarter of 2026. Eurostat’s metadata records a break in Czechia’s series in the first quarter of 2025, so Czechia’s 2019 figures are not shown and it is left out of every count of change, which runs over 24. France extended its survey to firms with fewer than 10 employees in May 2024 and revised its earlier figures. Eurostat flags the figures of France and Italy as defined differently, and some figures for the Netherlands, Malta, Lithuania, Estonia, Cyprus, Ireland, Hungary, Italy, Greece, Spain and Bulgaria as estimated or provisional. The flags are kept, not corrected.
  5. Germany’s counts are the published numbers of vacancies in section K: 54,126 in the second quarter of 2019 and 33,049 in the second quarter of 2026. The EU total for the sector is not published, which is why the edition compares rates.
What the data establishes, and what it does not

What the data establishes

  • In the second quarter of 2026, 2.2% of posts at EU tech firms were vacant against 2.0% across industry, construction and services: a gap of 0.2 points, against 1.3 in 2019, when the rates were 3.6% and 2.3%.
  • In each of the 44 quarters from 2012 to the end of 2022 the gap ran from 0.6 to 1.5 points; its two lowest readings in 58 quarters are the third quarter of 2025 and the second quarter of 2026.
  • In 17 of the 24 member states with an unbroken series, tech’s rate is lower than in 2019, and its lead over the economy has narrowed in 19; in Spain, Italy, Hungary and Lithuania tech went from ahead to behind, and in France to level.
  • Of the member states reporting the quarter, Belgium and the Netherlands carry the highest tech rates, 5.2% and 5.1%; German tech firms were recruiting for 33,049 posts, against 54,126 in 2019.

What it does not

  • Any cause. Artificial intelligence, interest rates and earlier over-hiring have all been offered, and none of them is measured here.
  • Lay-offs or job losses. The rate counts open posts; it says nothing about posts that were cut or people who lost them.
  • Anything about pay, or about how many people apply for each open post. The source counts posts, not candidates.
  • Anything about technical occupations outside tech firms. A developer at a bank is counted in finance, not here.
  • Any forecast, and anything about Denmark and Portugal, which do not report both years.
Primary sources

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