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Photo: Arno Senoner / Unsplash · Italy

Market watch · 36

Italy’s output since 2015 rose with hours worked, not productivity

Output per hour worked was only 0.4% higher in 2025 than in 2015, and it has fallen three years running.

An economy can grow in two ways: more hours of work, or more produced in each hour. Over the past ten years Italy grew almost entirely the first way. Here is how the two add up, what output per hour does and does not measure, what happened since 2022, and what it means if you are hiring or looking for work in Italy.

+12.6%growth in Italy’s real output, 2015 to 2025
+12.2%growth in hours worked over the same decade
+0.4%growth in real output per hour worked, against 7.2% across the EU

Italy’s output per hour in 2025 was barely above its 2015 level

2015100.0
201699.8
2017100.4
2018100.4
2019100.9
2020104.4
2021103.4
2022104.1
2023101.9
2024100.9
2025100.4
Real output per hour worked, Italy, index 2015 = 100, 2015 to 2025. The 2020 peak is the pandemic year, when hours fell faster than output. Eurostat, nama_10_lp_ulc, read 14 October 2026.

More hours, nearly the same output per hour

Between 2015 and 2025, Italy’s real output grew by 12.6%, and the hours worked in its economy grew by 12.2%. Real output is measured at 2020 prices, so price rises are removed.

That leaves output per hour worked only 0.4% higher than in 2015. Across the EU over the same decade, output grew by 17.1%, hours by 9.2% and output per hour by 7.2%.

The extra hours came from more people in work and from longer working years. The number of people in work rose by 2,493,600, to 26,796,800, and hours per worker rose from 1,688.1 to 1,717.3 a year.

Provenance: Source
Italy, 2015 and 2025, national accounts, and the change between them. Real output in million euros at 2020 prices; hours worked in millions. Eurostat, nama_10_gdp, nama_10_a10_e and nama_10_lp_ulc.
Measure20152025Change
Real output1,741,2821,960,421+12.6%
Hours worked41,02646,017+12.2%
People in work24,303,20026,796,800+10.3%
Hours per worker1,688.11,717.3+1.7%
Output per hour100.0100.4+0.4%

What output per hour measures

Output per hour is the economy’s real output divided by all the hours worked in it. Eurostat publishes it as an index, with 2015 equal to 100; in 2025 Italy’s stood at 100.4.

It is an average across every sector and every job, not a measure of anyone’s effort or skill. A shift of work towards activities that produce less per hour lowers it even if no one works differently.

It says nothing about pay. Wages, and how they relate to output per hour, are outside these tables.

Provenance: SourceWhat this counts
  1. THE IDENTITY: real output equals hours worked times real output per hour. In Italy, output grew by 12.6% and hours by 12.2%, which leaves 0.4% for output per hour. It is arithmetic, not an explanation.
  2. THE AVERAGE: output per hour is the whole economy’s real output divided by all the hours worked in it. It is not a measure of how hard or how well any person works, and it is not pay.
  3. THE PANDEMIC YEAR: in 2020, output fell by 8.7% and hours by 11.8%, so output per hour jumped even though output itself fell.

So output per hour 0.4% higher than in 2015 does not say that Italians work less hard or less well: it says the economy grew by adding hours, and the hours grew almost as fast as the output.

One identity, one average and one pandemic year, and a reading that forgets any of them says what the source does not.

Three years of falling output per hour

Output per hour fell in each of the last three years: by 2.1% in 2023, 1.1% in 2024 and 0.5% in 2025. It is the only run of more than one yearly fall since Eurostat’s series for Italy was last broken, in 2010.

The index had reached 104.4 in 2020, when hours fell by 11.8% and output by 8.7%. It stood at 104.1 in 2022, before the three falls.

In 2025 output grew by 0.6% and hours by 1.1%. The last three years repeat, in small, the decade: hours rising at least as fast as output.

Provenance: Source
Italy, 2015 to 2025, national accounts. Real output in million euros at 2020 prices; hours worked in millions; output per hour as an index, 2015 = 100. Eurostat, nama_10_gdp, nama_10_a10_e and nama_10_lp_ulc.
YearReal outputHours workedPeople in workOutput per hour
20151,741,28241,02624,303,200100.0
20161,766,87941,71324,650,90099.8
20171,796,92742,16724,940,800100.4
20181,814,84542,58425,194,000100.4
20191,825,15442,59925,349,000100.9
20201,665,97937,59124,830,100104.4
20211,819,50341,44025,069,400103.4
20221,908,75843,21225,550,400104.1
20231,927,85944,56126,077,700101.9
20241,948,38645,51626,509,600100.9
20251,960,42146,01726,796,800100.4

What these figures do not say

They do not say why. Nothing here measures the size of firms, investment, bureaucracy, the euro, taxes or the ageing of the workforce, and no policy is assessed.

They do not say that Italians work less hard or less well, and they say nothing about pay. Output per hour is an average over the whole economy.

They cover Italy as a whole, not any region, and compare it only with the EU average. None of this is a forecast.

What this means for you

If you are hiring in Italy

Italy’s economy added 2,493,600 people in work between 2015 and 2025, and the hours they worked grew almost exactly as fast as output. Growth in Italy has meant more people and more hours, not more produced per hour. If your plans assume adding output means adding hours, the national figures have matched that for ten years; whether your own output per hour can do better is a question these figures cannot answer for you.

If you are looking for work in Italy

There were 26,796,800 people in work in Italy in 2025, 2,493,600 more than in 2015, and each worked 1,717.3 hours a year on average, 29.2 more than in 2015. The economy has been adding people and hours. When you compare offers, compare the hours they ask for as well as the role: the national average has been rising.

How this was counted

Method

  1. Three tables. Eurostat, nama_10_gdp (GDP, chain-linked volumes), nama_10_a10_e (employment in persons and hours worked) and nama_10_lp_ulc (labour productivity), all updated on 14 October 2026 and read through Eurostat’s API on 14 October 2026 at 22:28 (+01:00).
  2. THE MEASURES. Real output is GDP in chain-linked volumes, million euros at 2020 prices. Hours are total hours worked, domestic concept. People in work are published in thousands and printed in persons: 26,796.8 thousand is 26,796,800. Every percentage is computed from the published levels.
  3. THE IDENTITY. Eurostat’s index of real output per hour worked equals real output divided by hours worked, relative to 2015; it matches that ratio in every year shown, to three decimals.
  4. THE BREAK. Eurostat flags a break in Italy’s series in 2010, so nothing here is compared with an earlier year; “the only run since 2010” counts the yearly changes from 2011 to 2025.
  5. LIMITS. National accounts are revised; the figures are those published on 14 October 2026. They cover Italy as a whole and say nothing about pay or about causes.
What the data establishes, and what it does not

What the data establishes

  • From 2015 to 2025, Italy’s real output grew by 12.6% and the hours worked in its economy by 12.2%.
  • Real output per hour worked was therefore only 0.4% higher in 2025 than in 2015, against 7.2% across the EU.
  • People in work rose by 2,493,600, to 26,796,800, and hours per worker from 1,688.1 to 1,717.3.
  • Output per hour fell in 2023, 2024 and 2025, the only run of more than one yearly fall since 2010.

What it does not

  • Why: no cause, including the size of firms, investment or bureaucracy, is measured.
  • That Italians work less hard or less well: output per hour is an economy-wide average.
  • Anything about pay or wages.
  • Anything about any region, or how Italy ranks against any other country.
  • Whether output per hour will keep falling: nothing here is a forecast.
Primary sources

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